Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 14.171762 16.480951 18.992137 21.918686 25.228125 28.846879 33.095466
2025-08-31 9.676673 12.671886 16.263635 20.853919 26.526751 33.267494 41.839019
2025-09-07 7.672304 11.027493 15.366457 21.310676 29.152132 39.042960 52.346469
2025-09-14 6.325601 9.842756 14.689529 21.721173 31.500286 44.435042 62.614852
2025-09-21 5.124148 8.582954 13.635519 21.354840 32.605742 48.118466 70.765750
2025-09-28 4.159692 7.471027 12.579703 20.766010 33.216932 51.035960 77.941642
2025-10-05 3.857356 7.330780 12.929437 22.245888 36.895384 58.473354 91.906232
2025-10-12 3.539569 7.101670 13.087527 23.408038 40.146856 65.465484 105.630764
2025-10-19 3.119703 6.617930 12.751297 23.710829 42.043446 70.509685 116.725658
2025-10-26 2.743117 6.145780 12.362762 23.859756 43.664662 75.187255 127.486810
2025-11-02 2.360956 5.594152 11.754205 23.545707 44.460200 78.571343 136.380649
2025-11-09 1.999140 5.016978 11.016899 22.907224 44.619640 80.896216 143.670112
2025-11-16 1.659026 4.444186 10.253126 22.217304 44.774975 83.467650 151.950844
2025-11-23 1.337571 3.847976 9.361963 21.195339 44.272519 84.959305 158.678889
2025-11-30 1.193739 3.640155 9.242969 21.668118 46.554365 91.385711 174.109400
2025-12-07 1.065034 3.440598 9.108900 22.086210 48.754103 97.793527 189.863050
2025-12-14 0.902557 3.111697 8.629655 21.714817 49.369672 101.372446 200.847925
2025-12-21 0.752891 2.778172 8.081579 21.117427 49.460821 103.965776 210.189516
2025-12-28 0.732348 2.821285 8.456036 22.618883 53.956458 115.052896 235.485103
2026-01-04 0.695737 2.806321 8.681122 23.797838 57.863392 125.233933 259.608100
2026-01-11 0.623837 2.659481 8.542088 24.104989 59.938065 131.997643 277.710376
2026-01-18 0.554431 2.501943 8.348719 24.256057 61.678988 138.197370 295.045289
2026-01-25 0.477580 2.294998 7.983668 23.937490 62.348228 142.294222 308.556611